Research & citation

The research behind Personalized Plan

Personalized Plan brings optimal dynamic treatment regimes, a framework from precision medicine, to high-school math course planning. Everything on this site is grounded in the work below.

Current work

In press
Estimating Optimal Dynamic Treatment Regimes for Personalized Education: A Tutorial and Applications with Machine Learning
Chenguang Pan, Yuxuan Li, Thomas Harris, & Youmi Suk · Zeitschrift für Psychologie

The core paper. It introduces ODTRs for education and applies them to HSLS:09, finding course pathways that maximize end-of-high-school weighted math GPA under constraints that keep recommendations realistic. Both models on this site come from it.

Preprint · 2026
Learning Feasible Optimal Treatment Regimes for Personalized Decision-Making
Chenguang Pan, Yuxuan Li, & Youmi Suk · PsyArXiv

The companion methods paper. It develops the feasibility machinery that stops the model from recommending pathways no real school would offer. The data-driven tool runs on this constrained regime.

Published related work

Earlier work by our group on optimal treatment regimes. It shapes our thinking but is not part of this site's models.

How to cite

Pan, C., Li, Y., Harris, T., & Suk, Y. (in press). Estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes for personalized education: A tutorial and applications with machine learning. Zeitschrift für Psychologie. https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10843

The preprint is available on arXiv. Volume, page, and DOI details will be added here once the article is published.

Research preview. The recommendations illustrate the framework and are intended to support advising conversations, not replace them.